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Purpose

This web application interactively computes species impact assessments for future scenarios. Impacts can be explored using a zoomable, panable map, or by reviewing more detailed summary reports.  Impact assessments can be considered the starting point for proactive conservation planning.  By understanding potential impacts from a variety of long range scenarios, conservation planners can strategically adjust their strategies to account for the actions of others, and can identify key stakeholders to include in planning efforts to generate improved scenarios.

Our intent is to go beyond traditional static reporting and methods requiring complex geographic information systems technologies.  We want to allow anyone interested to directly access specific information about how current plans, trends, and climate change may affect the species and habitats that comprise our natural heritage.

About

To begin, you might want to review the study process and summaries of the scenarios, found in the About menu.  Each scenario has multiple dimensions of change, and these are simulated using different spatial models.  Land cover change is simulated using a model known as AttCon, which projects future urbanization and conservation.  Climate change is simulated using down scaled global circulation models for atmospheric components and a separate model for sea level rise and associated coastal vegetative change.  

Impacts

if you are interested in a particular location! you will want to try the Impact Explorer.  This shows you the impacts of any scenario on any resource.  To use it, first pick a resource, then select a species from the selection panels on the right of the screen. You can view a live bar chart summarizing areas impacted by clicking the bar chart toggle control on the lower left.  

Reports

Extensive reporting is also available.  This includes species and habitat information, followed by various graphical and map summaries.  Select Reports from the main menu, and then select a resource and scenario.

Data

All data used and produced in this study is completely public.  The data menu leads to pages describing the input datasets used, as well as downloadable versions of the data products for use in geographic information systems (GIS).  

Summary

Finally, the Summary menu brings up a summary table of all impacts from all scenarios. This table can be filtered by species or mpact type, and can be sorted to show the highest and lowest impacts.  Clicking on a value within the summary table links back to the detailed reports.<p>